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TRIMIS

COmbining Probable TRAjectories

COPTRA

COmbining Probable TRAjectories

Call for proposal: 
H2020-SESAR-2015-1
Link to CORDIS:
Objectives: 

SESAR implementation will result in an environment using extensive and intensive planning to address complexity imbalances and reduce potential conflicts. Accurate planning requires quantifying forecast accuracy at all planning horizons with the main challenge of combining trajectories with different levels of accuracy. A quality indicator giving the forecast accuracy could enhance the situation: It has to combine uncertainties associated to traffic predictions and to trajectory predictions composing traffic.

COPTRA aims to propose, in a TBO, an efficient method to build probabilistic traffic forecasts on the basis of flight trajectory predictions. Its main objective is: Using the improvements brought to Trajectory Prediction by the future TBO environment; bring measurable improvements to Traffic Prediction in ATC Planning, specifically to the prediction of occupancy counts.

COPTRA objective is refined in 3 sub-objectives corresponding to its research work packages:

1. Define the concept of probabilistic trajectory and its prediction (WP2).

2. Using the definition of probabilistic trajectory, define the concept of probabilistic traffic situation and study how probabilistic traffic situations can be built by combining probabilistic trajectories (WP3).

3. Apply probabilistic traffic situations to ATC planning (WP4).

The management work packages encompass project management (WP1), results dissemination (WP5) and project conclusion (WP6).

To achieve its objectives, COPTRA brings together inter-disciplinary competencies where the partners are leading their respective area:

  • BR&T-E and ITU are experts in trajectory prediction, including the important aspect of prediction uncertainty,
  • UCLouvain ICTEAM has a proven track in using advanced methods and techniques to address optimal control problems on modern dynamical systems.
  • In addition to CRIDA’s proven track in managing research projects, CRIDA and EUROCONTROL bring their expertise in ATC.
Institution Type:
Institution Name: 
European Commission
Type of funding:
Lead Organisation: 

Centro De Referencia Investigacion Desarrollo E Innovacion Atm, A.i.e.

Address: 
Avda De Aragon 402 4 Edificio Allende
N/A Madrid
Spain
EU Contribution: 
€225,225
Partner Organisations: 

Eurocontrol - European Organisation For The Safety Of Air Navigation

Address: 
Rue De La Fusée 96
1130 Bruxelles
Belgium
EU Contribution: 
€0

Universite Catholique De Louvain

Address: 
Place De L Universite 1
1348 Louvain La Neuve
Belgium
EU Contribution: 
€269,250

Istanbul Okan Universitesi

Address: 
TEPEOREN MEVKII ISTANBUL PARK
34959 ISTANBUL
Turkey
EU Contribution: 
€268,750

Boeing Research & Technology Center

Address: 
Cañada Real de las Merinas 1-3, Edificio 4
28042 MADRID
Spain
EU Contribution: 
€236,166
Technologies: 
Development phase: