SCENES - Scenarios for European Transport
Overview
Background & policy context:
Knowledge of most significant socio-economic indicators and availability
of forecasting models are essential tools for transport policy makers. In
Europe, lack of a common and consolidated regional database forced
researchers to repeat data mining with consequent differences in their
studies and waste of resources. In addition, there is a need for improved
transport models able to give comprehensive and consistent information on
the European transport system by taking into account the effects of
long-term changes in the regulatory and institutional frameworks. The
SCENARIOS and STREAMS projects have started the development of a
comprehensive transport model at European scale with the elaboration of a
reference scenario and the provision of the related forecasts of key
transport variables. However, this model needs further testing of external
and transport policy scenarios.
Objectives:
The general objective of the SCENES project was to develop transport demand forecasts for Europe, taking into account different sets of socio-economic, environmental, regulation, investment and pricing policies.
Specific objectives of the project were to:
- identify a unique and standard database with relevant indicators for main European regions,
- make detailed forecasts for factors that will influence transport demand in the future,
- extend a strategic transport model of Europe that, in order to give more detailed results, could easily work together with other specific and local models, without generating consistency problems.
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