F1 (NRP 41) - Demand Projections for Swissmetro
Overview
Background & policy context:
The NRP 41 was launched by the Federal Council at the end of 1995 to improve the scientific basis on which Switzerland's traffic problems might be solved, taking into account the growing interconnection with Europe, ecological limits, and economic and social needs. The NRP 41 aimed to become a think-tank for sustainable transport policy. Each one of the 54 projects belongs to one of the following six modules:
- A Mobility: Socio-institutional Aspects
- B Mobility: Socio-economical Aspects
- C Environment: Tools and Models for Impact Assessments
- D Political and Economic Strategies and Prerequisites
- E Traffic Management: Potentials and Impacts
- F Technologies: Potentials and Impacts
- M Materials
- S Synthesis Projects
Objectives:
Estimation of the effects of demand for Swissmetro in the St.Gallen-Geneva corridor. Development of a simulation model which can represent the interdependence between the demand, the level of service variables, and the travel costs (fares and car travel costs).
Methodology:
The actual demand was gathered through various sources:
- Statistics of the SBB;
- Special interviews of travelers in trains;
- Our own surveys of long distance travel on the A1 (Video observations of traffic on the Autobahn);
- Interviews by mail of users of the Autobahn, who could be identified on the ba-sis of the video observations;
- Official statistics of air travel within Switzerland.
The results of these interviews and stated preference experiments form the basis of the model. The corresponding estimation was carried out with the help of a special statistical-econometric software package. The partial models found in this step form the basis for the simulation model with which the interdependencies can be represented.
Share this page