F5a (NRP 41) - Swissmetro and Switzerland: a trend analysis
Overview
Background & policy context:
The NRP 41 was launched by the Federal Council at the end of 1995 to improve the scientific basis on which Switzerland's traffic problems might be solved, taking into account the growing interconnection with Europe, ecological limits, and economic and social needs. The NRP 41 aimed to become a think-tank for sustainable transport policy. Each one of the 54 projects belongs to one of the following six modules:
- A Mobility: Socio-institutional Aspects
- B Mobility: Socio-economical Aspects
- C Environment: Tools and Models for Impact Assessments
- D Political and Economic Strategies and Prerequisites
- E Traffic Management: Potentials and Impacts
- F Technologies: Potentials and Impacts
- M Materials
- S Synthesis Projects
Objectives:
Evaluation of possible spatial effects of Swissmetro.
Methodology:
The used method is based on the ex-ante comparison of the following three situations:
- The situation before the construction of the infrastructure;
- The situation in case the infrastructure is not constructed;
- The situation after the construction of the infrastructure.
The study is subdivided in 6 subsystems and 40 variables, analysing the recent and the future situations. An approach illustrating the dimensions centre-periphery and centre-agglomeration was chosen to measure the relations among the subsystems. A projection of future situations (5 scenarios) has been made using different combinations of the variables and the 'Futuribles' scenario-method.
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